УДК 004.94:005.334:658:664

DOI: https://doi.org/10.36887/2415-8453-2025-1-18

Laskaiev Oleksandr,
Senior Lecturer, Postgraduate Student, Department of Trade Entrepreneurship, Commodity Science and Business Management,
Odesa National University of Technology,
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4800-5380

JEL classification: L66; Q18

The article examines the theoretical and methodological principles and practical aspects of simulation modeling the risk management system at food industry enterprises. A comprehensive simulation model has been developed that covers the main aspects of risk management, from identifying and assessing risks to developing and implementing management decisions. The model considers the specifics of food production, including seasonality, the limited shelf life of products, requirements for food safety, and sanitary and hygienic standards. Based on a systems approach, a risk management mechanism has been developed, which is based on modern software tools and includes a database of historical indicators, a random event generation module, and algorithms for assessing the impact of risks and optimizing management decisions. Particular attention is paid to the relationship between different categories of risks and their cumulative impact on the enterprise’s activities. Practical testing of the developed model at industry enterprises showed its high efficiency. A reduction in losses from the realization of risks by 25-30%, optimization of risk management costs by 15-20%, and increased the overall efficiency of enterprises by 10-15% were achieved. Implementing the model also contributes to improving the quality of management decisions and increasing the stability of enterprises in conditions of uncertainty. The proposed approach is universal and can be adapted for enterprises of different capacities and industry specifics. Further development of the model is associated with integrating elements of artificial intelligence and predictive analytics to increase the accuracy of forecasts and automate decision-making processes.

Keywords: simulation modeling, risk management, food industry, systems approach, economic efficiency, forecasting, management optimization.

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The article was received 28.12.2024